future app · one weekly prediction, auto-resolved idea AI-enhanced
cast
Make one specific prediction per week with a date and a wager-of-pride; cast auto-resolves and tracks your calibration score.
"Metaculus is too serious. Group chats forget. cast is exactly one prediction a week."
The hook
One prediction per week. Specific, dated. cast finds the answer when the date hits. Your calibration score is your stat.
The user
Forecasting nerds, sports-twitter, anyone who's read Superforecasting. Right now because Metaculus is too serious and group chats forget.
The klip-feed
| Replaces | The "called it" screenshot |
| Klip payload | Prediction card → resolution card |
| Profile signal | A Brier-score-style accuracy stat on your profile |
AI layer
| What it does | An LLM-with-search resolves "will Anora win Best Picture by Mar 2" by querying news + scoreboards on the deadline, returns yes/no + cited source, and updates your Brier score. |
| Input | Prediction text + deadline |
| Output | Resolution + citation + updated calibration |
| Why with > without | Without AI, predictions never get scored — bets in group chats die in DMs. With AI, every cast resolves itself, on time. |
Status
idea Filed 2026-05-16 from brainstorm session. Overlap watch: shares space with pact (wagers). cast = solo prediction + calibration; pact = bilateral bet + W-L. Could co-exist.
Obsidian mirror
Two-way-linked to the vault. See the Future apps — ideas → cast section in Lino Labs.md.
Lino Labs · future-apps · cast